US-geo promotional popup. Variant sets the initial state (expanded vs minimized).

us_popup

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

Show/hide language selector in navigation

language_selector

Auto-detect and redirect based on browser language

auto_locale_detection

Show BTC 15-minute up/down market in 3rd slot on homepage.

homepage_btc_15m_slot

signup_prompt

Show personalized Picked for You shelf on homepage

picked_for_you

Auto-redeem prompt for closed market positions

auto_redeem

Kill switch — when enabled, hides sponsor and cancel-sponsorship UI

disable_sponsor_markets

Route /search to the search ranking service

search_ranking

Route navbar search to the search ranking service

search_ranking_autocomplete

Route /search and navbar search to Shaped-backed /search-v3 (vs Typesense /search-v2).

search_v3

Enables the new contracts (PMCT) migration: post-migration modal, USDCe→pUSD wrap UI, new allowance reads/approvals, balance upgrade prompts, and the cancelled-orders portfolio tab.

enable_pmct_migration

Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 25?

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?

Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31?

Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026?

Will the Eurozone's monthly inflation increase by ≤0.0% in November?

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

Fed rate cut by September meeting?

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?

Nothing Ever Happens: September

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 14?

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 11, 2026?

Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in December?

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?

Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 24?

AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?

Tercero - 14402

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Will OPEC hike production by next meeting?

Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?

Activity

Approve token spending for trading

Deploy a smart contract wallet to enable trading

Sign a message to generate your API keys

Enable Trading

Funds Activated

Your account needs to migrate to a new wallet to continue trading. Deploy your new deposit wallet, then transfer your funds over.

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Migration complete

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Buy ‘Yes’ or ‘No’ shares depending on your prediction. Odds shift in real time as other traders get in on the action.

1. Pick a Polymarket

1. Explore our Polymarkets

Fund your account with crypto, debit card, or bank transfer—then you're ready to trade.

2. Place a Trade

Sell your 'Yes' or 'No' shares at any time, or wait until the market ends to redeem winning shares for $1 each. Create an account and place your first trade in minutes.

3. Redeem

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View-only mode

{count} Orders

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You can close out these resolved positions to realize the loss.

Polymarkets Lost

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This will merge all eligible market positions.

Merge ${amount} in positions

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I just won ${amount} on @Polymarket!

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I just put my money where my mouth is on @Polymarket.

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Merge a share of Yes and No to get 1 USDC. You can do this to save cost when trying to get rid of a position.

Merge shares

Order Book

Major Price Slippage

Split a USDC into a share of Yes and No. You can do this to save cost by getting both and just selling the other side.

Split shares

By trading, you agree to the Terms of Use, including that you are not (i) a U.S. person and (ii) located in the United States, France or other restricted territory.

To start trading with the upgraded system, approve the migration in your wallet. This is a one-time action.

Complete migration

Your USDC.e will be converted to pUSD at a 1:1 rate. No fees, all positions included, fully redeemable.

Balance migration

Please log in to your account so we can migrate your balance and approve the new contracts.

Profit/Loss

Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?